Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Week 11 Power Rankings

1. New England
2. Indianapolis
3. Green Bay
4. New Orleans
5. Minnesota (+2)
6. NY Giants (-1)
7. Pittsburgh (+2)
8. Philadelphia (-4)
9. Baltimore (-3)
10. Dallas
11. Cincinatti (+1)
12. San Diego (+3)
13. Houston
14. NY Jets (-3)
15. Arizona (+1)
16. Denver (-2)
17. Washington (+2)
18. Atlanta (-1)
19. Chicago (-1)
20. Jacksonville (+2)
21. Carolina (+3)
22. Miami (+1)
23. San Francisco (-2)
24. Seattle (-4)
25. Tennessee
26. Buffalo
27. Kansas City
28. Tampa Bay
29. St. Louis
30. Oakland
31. Detroit
32. Cleveland

Week 11 Record: 12-4
Overall Record: 12-4

Week 11 Recap

Cleveland Sucks

How bad is your team when you have a 24-3 lead in the 1st quarter, after scoring a franchise record for points in said quarter, and still lose the game? Cleveland got beat by Detroit 38-37 thanks to bad defense, bad offense after the first quarter, and another dumbass Mangini move, taking the time out at the end of the game to let Stafford back onto the field to throw his 5th TD pass. Stafford has guts, poise, and is making better decisions. The kid is going to have a good career in the league. A bit early to say he'll be great, but he should stick around in Detroit for a while.

The Gods Hate The Falcons

What is wrong with Atlanta? The Giants had a horrible day running the ball, the Falcons tied it at 31 with a 14-0 run at the end of the 4th quarter, and yet Atlanta walked away with a loss. OK, so the G-men weren't going to be pushovers aftre an extra week of listening to Coughlin, but still. Atlanta has never had back-to-back winning seasons, and it looks like that might still be the case come January.

Will The Real TO Please Stand Up

Ryan Fitzpatrick? Really? That's what it took to wake up TO? OK, the Bills still lost, but they competed, and with a bit better running game they probably would've won the game. TO had 9 for 195 and a TD. That's more yards than he had over the last four games combined. And he had a 98 yard TD catch and run, perhaps putting to rest some of the talk that he wasn't quick enough anymore.

November is the new December

Tony Romo hasn't been effective the last two games. Dallas has scored a total of 14 points, one TD in each game (yeah, they won last week, but they did play the Deadskins). The defense has been solid, giving up 17 points to GB should've been a winning effort, but the offense is off again. Are the Cowboys starting their December tank job a bit early this season? Or are they getting the crap out of their system now so they can make a run? Next week will be a test: the Raiders have been tricky.

Steelers Home In January

If Pittsburgh can't get their special teams into shape, they're goign to be home for the playoffs. Kick return TDs are directly responsible for giving Cincy and KC wins the past two weeks, the difference between being 6-4 and 8-2 and in first place in the AFC North. Right now they're fighting for a Wild Card spot, and while they can win it all from that slot, a home game would be a big help. There's still time to pass the Bengals, but the window is closing rapidly.

Friday, November 20, 2009

Whitlock on LeBron

Normally, I don't buy a lot of what Jason Whitlock is selling. He does a good job as a fill-in for Jim Rome on ESPN when Rome is on a break, but I find his printed work to be lacking a lot of the time.

This, however, is different.

In a column on FOXSports.com, Whitlock slams LeBron James for toying with the NFL. He delivers one of the best summaries of LeBron's career, calling him an "incomplete, title-less basketball player...immature and shallow".

Wow. For all of the LeBron adoration out there, Whitlock gets major points for telling it like it is.

Maybe I'll give him another chance.

Thursday, November 19, 2009

Miami 24, Carolina 17

For the second straight week, Miami tried to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Last week it was Chad Henne's interception on the wrong side of the field, and this week it was the defense softening up in the 4th quarter, letting Carolina get close enough to try and tie the game with a TD pass. But like last week, Miami walked away with a victory.

The story this week was the loss of Ronnie Brown to the IR list. Would the run game suffer? Would the offense as a whole? Apparently not. It looks like some mandatory time off and a vacation in Canada has left Ricky Williams with some gas in his tank. Sitting out most of 04, 06, and 07 for various reasons, Ricky still runs with authority in his 30s, something a lot of NFL backs can't do. His 138 yards, 119 on the ground, and 3 total TDs served notice to the rest of the league: Miami may be down, but they certainly aren't out.

For the most part, the defense played well. Joey Porter rebounded from his benching last week to notch two sacks in a game for the first time this season, and until the 4th quarter Carolina was not having much luck with the passing game. And for what it's worth, Chad Henne played turnover-free ball this week, avoiding putting the defense in bad spots.

It was a solid road win, putting the Dolphins at .500 for the first time all season, and ahead of the imploding and probably overrated Jets, at least until Sunday. Four winnable games, a rematch with the Pats, and a season-ending matchup against a Pittsburgh team that should be resting players for the postseason means that after this win, the playoffs are still very much a possibility. In fact, an 11-5 finish and a division title are still on the table. The pressure is now on New England to stop giving games away.

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

Two Bad Ideas

Two interesting NFL-related stories today, both of which are really bad ideas.

First off, the new administration in Buffalo wants Fitzpatrick to start over Edwards at QB. Yes, Fitzpatrick has a win and was largely responsible for another, but he's not the long-term answer. Edwards still could be. The season is a wash for Buffalo at this point, with double-digit losses to be expected. Edwards was what, 7-7 as a starter last year? This year the team has had offensive line issues galore, running back problems, and hasn't been able to capitalize on what they did last year. If Perry Fewell thinks Fitzpatrick is his best option at QB, then he won't be around long enough to make a difference. I'm certainly no Bills fan, but I that doesn't mean I'm not going to point out when they decide to do something stupid.

In other news, Mangini thinks LeBron should come try out for the Browns. Well, it's not like he could make it any worse. With his size and reach, maybe it's not a bad idea...he should be more effective than their current options at receiver given the QBs inaccuracies behind center. But seriously, this is just Mangini trying to curry favor in Cleveland and save his job for the time being. Besides, given the state of pro sports in Cleveland and the fact that the Cavs never seem to make the right moves to build around LeBron, he's not going ot be in Cleveland for much longer anyway.

Oh no. Not now. Please.

Perusing the web today, and I come across this: click here.

No. Please. Seriously. Not now. The season is barely half over. Come on! Are YOU SERIOUS! WHAT THE HELL IS WRONG WITH YOU!

It's OK.

I'm fine now.

But really, can we at least ignore this until January?

And yeah, the more astute individuals out there will in fact note that I used January, and not February.

Brownout

OK, so Ronnie Brown isn't playing against the Panthers this week. What does thie mean for Miami? Well, it means that they need to be at the top of their game to win.

Brown is out, so the Wildcat will be affected. It might mean we see more of Pat White running the formation, which hasn't been spectacular to this point. What it really means is that the passing game needs to step up. The line will have to protect Henne, and the coaches will have to devise some offensive schemes to get their WRs some openings. These aren't speed guys, except for Sir Dropsalot of Buckeye, and that means an efficient, short-to-mid range passing game will be the key.

Henne showed a lot leading Miami right down the field against Tampa right after potentially blowing the game with a bad INT. If he can translate that momentum into this week against the Panthers, Miami should be alright.

Ricky Williams has basically been Stud Jr. in the backfield, nearly as effective a runner as Ronnie Brown on the stat sheet. Last week he showed that he can at least take the reins for the short term, a promising sign if they are going to be without Brown for another game or two beyond Thursday.

If the defense can get enough pressure on Delhomme, forcing him to regress back to Bad Jake, and contain Carolina's running game, a decent proposition given that Miami has a top 10 run defense, then there is no reason to assume that Brown's absense will create an insurmountable obstacle to victory.

Oh, and Coach? It's crunch time. QB pressure will mean a lot in this one. Joey's learned his lesson, let's all get back to business.

Mideason (sorta) Trade Eval

It's kinda sorta still around midseason in the NFL, so let's evaluate some of the trades that happened in the offseason.

Cutler for Orton (basically)
Winner: both
Honestly, I like this deal for both sides. Sure, Cutler is a gunslinger in the young Favrian mold, and will turn the ball over, but Orton wasn't going to do any better with that offense. Chicago's problem is that they need a top receiver to draw double coverage and make big plays. Without that, their passing game will suffer. The lack of a consistent run game hasn't helped either, nor has the poor defensive play, meaning Cutler is trying to do too much to win the game. Give the man a good target and get the defense healthy and they'll be in much better shape offensively. As for Kyle Orton...wow. This is a perfect example of a QB needing a change of scenery to excel (you paying attention, Quinn?). In Denver Orton has two great WRs in Marshall and Royal, a solid TE in Scheffler, and, well, they always figure out how to run the ball eventually up there. Orton has had one bad game, against Pittsburgh, and has an excellent 11-4 TD-INT ratio, which is an eye-popping 11-1 if you take away the aforementioned Steelers contest. His 7.1 yards per attempt shows that he isn't just dumping the ball off either. At the end of the day, I think this will work out for both teams. Denver has found a solid QB who wants to be there, and Chicago has learned that their true need on offense was WR all along. The Bears fix that, and their offense will be what they thought it would be this year with Cutler.

Winslow Jr. to Tampa
Winner: Kellen Winslow, for getting out of Cleveland
Mangini began his castration of Cleveland's offense with this move in the offseason. First off, good coaches can get troubled players to compete. Look at McDaniels and Brandon Marshall. All Winslow has done in Tampa Bay is show up as the team's leading receiver, and a favorite target of rookie QB Josh Freeman. Alright, so Tampa isn't winning many more than Cleveland, but they at least have pieces in place to grow into a solid unit. Winslow has easily doubled the production of Cleveland's three TEs, and has more catches and nearly as many yards as Clevelands top 2 WRs combined. Yes, a lot of their problems are due to very poor QB play, but some of that is a result of having no weapons around the passers. Between this move and the mideason trade of Braylon Edwards, Mangini made it clear that he did not care about victories this season and was going to rebuild in the draft NEXT year. He better hope that he's around long enough to get the chance.

Richard Seymour to Oakland
Winner: not Al Davis
Typical New England. They let an aging player go for somebody who costs less money. In this case, I think they royally hosed the Raiders. Forget that they're the Raiders for a minute, and consider them to be your typical bottom-dwelling team. They gave New England a first round pick in the 2011 draft for a defensive end who averages less than 6 sacks over a 16 game season. Really, I never did get the hype over Seymour. Sure, he was in the NFL's Popularity Bowl a lot, and he was a good run defender, but as a pass rusher he left a lot to be desired. Now remember that they're the Raiders again. Al Davis saw another Pro Bowler with a decent amount of years left in the tank and went for it. Unless they're secretly grooming Seymour to play QB, this isn't going to do them a bit of good in either the short or the long term. That was a pretty high price for a guy who's given you sacks of two QBs and tackled two ball carriers behind the line so far this year.

Week 11 NFL Picks

With the playoff race heating up, the games in Week 11 are important, even if you're playing a bottom-dweller. A win is a win and can move you ahead of a rival for the division or a wild card berth, so expect teams to start buckling down and getting serious.

Home team is in bold.

THURSDAY
Miami over Carolina Look for Miami to pound Ricky Williams and force Delhomme to throw it.

SUNDAY
Baltimore over Indy Indy is the more fradulent of the 9-0 teams, and this week a rejuvenated Ravens squad actually puts them away.
Dallas over Washington Romo might not be Aikman, but he's not Chris Simms either.
Jax over Buffalo MJD is on a mission, Garrard is playing well, and TO is starting to throw tantrums.
San Fran over Green Bay SF has been getting better week after week even though they haven't been drubbing teams, but this week they put it together against an up-and-down Packers squad.
Detroit over Cleveland Mangenius? Not anymore, after castrating the Brown's offense through trades. The Lions actually gave the Vikings a game of it for a while last week, and that's not a bad accomplishment.
Pittsburgh over KC KC's bottom-tier defense is just what the doctor ordered for a Steeler's bounce-back victory.
Giants over Atlanta You just know the G-men will be motivated after the bye, and the Falcons have been struggling for a while now.
New Orleans over Tampa Bay If New Orleans could play four quarters and not three this week, they'd stop letting teams well beneath them hang around.
Minnesota over Seattle The Vikings are cruising to a division title and a first round bye.
Arizona over St. Louis The Rams are getting better, but they don't have the offense to hang around in this one, especially since Arizona figured out how to run the ball.
San Diego over Denver Orton might not be able to go, and the Chargers are coming on strong.
New England over the Jets This might be really ugly after last week's debacle.
Cincinnati over Oakland The Raiders can smack you around a bit, but JaMarcus is the worst QB to hit the league in a long time. With basically a 2 game lead over Pittsburgh, the Bengals can't afford to lose to the scrub teams, at least not yet.
Chicago over Philly No Westbrook, and McNabb proved last week he can't pass his team to a win. Of course, Cutler can pass the other team to a win, so this should be close.

MONDAY
Houston over Tennessee They won't stop the leagues best back, but Houston has the offense to keep pace and pull it out.

Last week's record: N/A
Overall record: N/A

Week 10 Power Rankings

Heading into Week 10, here are Phin Phanatic's Power Rankings for the NFL. Astute readers will notice that a team's record does not play a huge part in these rankings. These demonstrate how teams are performing on the field irregardless of their actual win-loss record. I know, it's confusing and hard to understand. But bear with me. I've been doing these for a few years now off and on, and by the end of the year the bulk of the playoff teams seem to show up at the top, go figure. So here we go:

1. New England
2. Indianapolis
3. Green Bay
4. Philadelphia
5. New York Giants
6. Baltimore
7. Minnesota
8. New Orleans
9. Pitsburgh
10. Dallas
11. New York Jets
12. Cincinatti
13. Houston
14. Denver
15. San Diego
16. Arizona
17. Atlanta
18. Chicago
19. Washington
20. Seattle
21. San Francisco
22. Jacksonville
23. Miami
24. Carolina
25. Tennessee
26. Buffalo
27. Kansas City
28. Tampa Bay
29. St. Louis
30. Oakland
31. Detroit
32. Cleveland

Starting next week, the ranking's "results" for the previous week will also be included. Basically, a higher team should beat a lower team, all things being normal (injuries, last second Orton-to-Stokeley TDs, etc).

Relaunch!

Welcome to the relaunch of Fins and Riffs, formerly known for about a week in 2007 as Phin Phanatic! Here you'll find postings on the NFL, the Miami Dolphins, quality metal music, and anything else generally amusing. And yeah, I changed the name after I realized that there was a well-established Dolphins blog using the same moniker.